With only one day before the third and final presidential debate, Republican nominee Donald Trump has taken a slight lead over his Democratic opponent in a new poll released on Tuesday by the Los Angeles Times.
According to the USC Dornsife/LA Times poll, Trump is now leading over Hillary Clinton, 44.9 percent to 43.3 percent.
In regards to age range, voters between 18-34 have been mixed in their support for Trump. However, he currently has a lead over Clinton, 42.2 percent to 39.7 percent. Voters between the ages of 35-64 have shown the least amount of change throughout the general election, and have remained relatively even between Clinton and Trump.
Trump has an edge with those 65 and older, leading Clinton 49.7 percent to 45.2 percent.
Trump and Clinton are split when it comes to education based polling. The Republican nominee holds an advantage among voters without a college degree, 52.6 percent to 38.6 percent. By contrast, Clinton is doing significantly better among voters with a college degrees, 51.2 percent over Trump’s 35.3 percent.
A huge chunk of Trump’s support base include white voters who have not graduated from college. Clinton holds a distinct edge among lower-income voters, reflecting her strong support among blacks and Latinos. Trump has a lead among middle-income voters.
Middle-class voters overwhelming support Trump when categorizing by income. In brackets of $35-75k income, Trump has over a ten-point lead, 49.7 percent to 38.3 percent. Clinton, on the other hand, has overwhelming support with lower-income voters, leading 51.4 percent to 36.1 percent.
Another huge part of Trump’s base are white middle-class voters. In terms of ethnicity, he leads 54.1 percent to 33.4 percent over Clinton.
Black voters overwhelmingly support Clinton, 87.4 percent to 4 percent. Trump is also having trouble closing the gap with Latino voters, with Clinton leading 53.2 percent over Trump’s 34.3 percent.
Dividing up voters by gender shows that Trump has remained steady with support from men. Currently, he has a 12-point lead over Clinton, 50.8 percent to 38.2 percent.
However, Trump has had trouble with female voters. He had a slight bump after the Republican National Convention, but has since fallen down to his current 39.3 percent support. Clinton continues to lead with with a nine-point lead of 48.2 percent.
Trump has been given a significantly lower chance of winning when voters are asked who they believe will win. “We ask voters who they expect to see win, regardless of which candidate they support. Over the years, asking voters their expectation about which candidate will win often has proved to predict elections more reliably than asking how they plan to vote. That’s particularly true when the election is still many weeks away,” wrote the LA Times.
Since Trump’s leaked 2005 audio conversation was made public, he has dropped to 37.5 percent who believe he will win, while Clinton currently sits at 57 percent.